Erovnuli Liga · Mar 02, 2026 16:00
Gagra
PWR 35
Samgurali
PWR 35
Gagra
PWR 35
0 - 1
FT
Samgurali
PWR 35
37% H
27% D
36% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (8%)
2-2 (7%)
3-1 (7%)
1-1 (6%)
3-2 (6%)
1-2 (5%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): I Liga
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Gagra Form
LLLWW
DOWN
Samgurali Form
DWWLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.574%
BTTS75%
Under 2.526%
Gagra Goals
0
8%
1
20%
2
26%
3
22%
4
14%
Samgurali Goals
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 80% | 20% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 62% | 38% | - |
| 4.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 5.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total4.3
Over 3.562%
BTTS Yes78%
Home Clean Sheet12%
Away Clean Sheet11%
Top Correct Scores:
2-2 (7%)
2-1 (7%)
1-2 (7%)
1-1 (6%)
3-2 (5%)
2-3 (5%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.52
Gagravs
1.69
SamguraliDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum78%
Standings34%
Market45%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#10
Gagra-8
Gap#2
Samgurali
WR 0% 0 pts
WR 100% 3 pts
Gagra
8.0%
| Jan 31 | Gagra v Shturmi | 2-1 |
| Dec 06 | Gagra v Saburta… | 2-1 |
| Dec 01 | Gagra v Telavi | 1-2 |
| Nov 25 | Gagra v Gareji | 4-1 |
| Nov 21 | Gagra v Dinamo … | 2-4 |
| Nov 07 | Gagra v Kolkhet… | 1-3 |
| Nov 02 | Gagra v Samgura… | 1-1 |
| Oct 26 | Gagra v Dinamo … | 4-1 |
| Oct 21 | Gagra v Dila | 5-0 |
| Oct 17 | Gagra v Torpedo… | 0-2 |
Samgurali
14.0%
| Feb 19 | Samgura… v Ulytau | 2-2 |
| Feb 12 | Samgura… v Lokomot… | 0-2 |
| Jan 29 | Samgura… v Kolkhet… | 2-0 |
| Dec 06 | Samgura… v Telavi | 3-0 |
| Nov 30 | Samgura… v Dinamo … | 4-0 |
| Nov 26 | Samgura… v Dila | 2-1 |
| Nov 22 | Samgura… v Torpedo… | 2-4 |
| Nov 08 | Samgura… v Saburta… | 2-0 |
| Nov 02 | Samgura… v Gagra | 1-1 |
| Oct 28 | Samgura… v Gareji | 1-4 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Nov 02, 2025 | Samgurali | 1-1 | Gagra |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Gagra | 2-0 | Samgurali |
| May 07, 2025 | Samgurali | 0-2 | Gagra |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Gagra | 0-2 | Samgurali |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Samgurali | 4-2 | Gagra |
| Sep 01, 2024 | Gagra | 1-3 | Samgurali |
| Jul 27, 2024 | Samgurali | 0-0 | Gagra |
| May 14, 2024 | Samgurali | 2-0 | Gagra |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Gagra | 0-0 | Samgurali |
| Oct 02, 2023 | Samgurali | 2-2 | Gagra |
Key Factors
Samgurali in strong form (3W in last 5)
Gagra struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.