Federation Cup · Jul 18, 2023 14:00

Al Ahed
PWR 0
3 - 1
FT

Al Nejmeh
PWR 90
49% H 24% D 27% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Al Nejmeh to win (87% confidence)
Prediction
0-2
Score
87%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (48%) 0-1 (21%) 1-0 (14%) 1-1 (6%) 0-2 (4%) 2-0 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 3-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
Limited data available (Tier 3)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.3 | Tier 3 data without strong odds (need 85%+)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense0
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack70
Defense100
Goals/G2.0
Conc/G0.0
Al Ahed Form WWWWW
UP
Al Nejmeh Form WWWWD
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.54%
BTTS9%
Under 2.596%
Al Ahed Goals
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Al Nejmeh Goals
0
65%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 85% 15% OVER
1.5 57% 43% -
2.5 30% 70% UNDER
3.5 13% 88% UNDER
4.5 4% 96% UNDER
5.5 1% 99% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total1.9
Over 3.512%
BTTS Yes36%
Home Clean Sheet32%
Away Clean Sheet47%
Top Correct Scores:
0-1 (17%) 0-0 (15%) 1-1 (13%) 1-0 (11%) 0-2 (10%) 1-2 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Al Ahed
vs
0.43
Al Nejmeh
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Al Ahed 20.0%
Apr 24 Al Ahed v Shabab … 0-4
Mar 12 Al Ahed v Al Ansar 0-3
Mar 04 Al Ahed v Shabab … 2-0
Feb 12 Al Ahed v Bourj 1-0
Jan 21 Al Ahed v Bourj 1-5
Jan 13 Al Ahed v Shabab … 1-2
Nov 26 Al Ahed v Bourj 0-0
Oct 28 Al Ahed v Tadamon… 0-1
Oct 20 Al Ahed v Safa 0-4
Sep 17 Al Ahed v Shabab … 0-1
Al Nejmeh 18.0%
Jul 06 Al Nejm… v Safa 0-2
Feb 11 Al Nejm… v Shabab … 1-4
Jan 28 Al Nejm… v Shabab … 2-0
Dec 17 Al Nejm… v Tadamon… 0-2
Nov 27 Al Nejm… v Tadamon… 0-0
Oct 01 Al Nejm… v Shabab … 1-2
Sep 04 Al Nejm… v Al Hikma 0-2
Apr 30 Al Nejm… v Al Hikma 0-2
Mar 15 Al Nejm… v Al Hikma 2-0
Jan 21 Al Nejm… v Shabab … 1-2
Key Factors
Al Ahed in strong form (5W in last 5)
Al Nejmeh in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.