Cup · Jun 24, 2025 14:30

Neftchi
PWR 23

Mash'al
PWR 77

Neftchi
PWR 23
0 - 1
FT

Mash'al
PWR 77
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Under 2.5
Goals · Low scoring expected: 1.0 total goals avg
80%
accuracy
1.7x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Neftchi Win
Score
?
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (18%)2-0 (13%)0-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)2-1 (8%)0-1 (8%)
WRONG 0-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
34%
Under 2.5
66%
66%
BTTS
No 35%
Over 3.5
33%
Team Comparison
0Attack35
65Defense100
Goals/G
0.01.0
Conc/G
1.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Neftchi
DWDDD
STABLE
Mash'al
LWDLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Away team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 4/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.3%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Neftchivs
0.61
Mash'alGoal Probability
Neftchi
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
5%
Mash'al
0
54%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (19%)3-0 (16%)1-0 (15%)4-0 (10%)0-0 (6%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 78% | 22% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 55% | 45% | - |
| 3.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 17% | 84% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#18
Neftchi-9
Gap#9
Mash'al
WR 0% 0 pts
WR 100% 6 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neftchi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Mash'al | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
Neftchi
12.0%
| Jun 15 | Neftchi v Surkhon | 0-0 |
| Apr 11 | Neftchi v Mash'al | 1-4 |
| Nov 09 | Neftchi v Surkhon | 0-0 |
| Jun 15 | Neftchi v Surkhon | 1-1 |
| Oct 22 | Neftchi v Surkhon | 1-1 |
| May 07 | Neftchi v Surkhon | 2-2 |
| Nov 12 | Neftchi v Surkhon | 3-0 |
| Jun 29 | Neftchi v Surkhon | 1-1 |
Mash'al
8.0%
| Jun 20 | Mash'al v Nasaf | 1-3 |
| Jun 13 | Mash'al v Kokand-… | 0-4 |
| May 26 | Mash'al v Bunyodk… | 1-1 |
| May 18 | Mash'al v Xorazm | 3-0 |
| May 11 | Mash'al v Qizilqum | 2-2 |
| May 03 | Mash'al v Buxoro | 1-2 |
| Apr 26 | Mash'al v Surkhon | 0-0 |
| Apr 19 | Mash'al v Shortan | 0-1 |
| Apr 11 | Mash'al v Neftchi | 1-4 |
| Apr 06 | Mash'al v Andijan | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Apr 11, 2025 | Mash'al | 1-4 | Neftchi |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
78%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.