Copa Grão Pará · Feb 28, 2026 22:00
Castanhal
PWR 56
Águia de Marabá
PWR 35
Castanhal
PWR 56
0 - 0
FT
Águia de Marabá
PWR 35
33% H
27% D
40% A
Final Verdict
Castanhal Win
Prediction
3-1
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (19%)
0-0 (15%)
1-1 (12%)
2-0 (12%)
0-1 (10%)
2-1 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 0-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 3/7 draws (43%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (31.6%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack70
Defense48
Goals/G2.0
Conc/G1.5
Attack53
Defense48
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.5
Castanhal Form
DLWLD
STABLE
Águia de Marabá Form
WWDWD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.529%
BTTS34%
Under 2.571%
Castanhal Goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Águia de Ma… Goals
0
53%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 65% | 35% | - |
| 1.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total1.0
Over 3.52%
BTTS Yes16%
Home Clean Sheet56%
Away Clean Sheet63%
Top Correct Scores:
0-0 (35%)
0-1 (21%)
1-0 (16%)
1-1 (9%)
0-2 (6%)
2-0 (4%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Castanhalvs
0.64
Águia de MarabáDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum68%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Castanhal+1
Gap#4
Águia de Ma…
WR 50% 3 pts
WR 0% 2 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Castanhal | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Águia de Marabá | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Castanhal
8.0%
| Feb 25 | Castanh… v Guaraní… | 1-1 |
| Feb 22 | Castanh… v Paysand… | 1-0 |
| Feb 19 | Castanh… v Capitao… | 0-1 |
| Feb 15 | Castanh… v Capitao… | 2-0 |
| Feb 12 | Castanh… v Remo | 2-2 |
| Feb 07 | Castanh… v Tuna Lu… | 0-1 |
| Feb 04 | Castanh… v São Rai… | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | Castanh… v Santos | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Castanh… v Cametá | 0-0 |
| Apr 06 | Castanh… v Tuna Lu… | 2-1 |
Águia de Marabá
16.0%
| Feb 25 | Águia d… v Indepen… | 2-0 |
| Feb 22 | Águia d… v Santos | 1-0 |
| Feb 18 | Águia d… v Remo | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Águia d… v Cametá | 1-0 |
| Feb 12 | Águia d… v Capitao… | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Águia d… v São Rai… | 2-3 |
| Feb 05 | Águia d… v Remo | 3-0 |
| Feb 01 | Águia d… v Tuna Lu… | 0-2 |
| Jan 25 | Águia d… v Santos | 2-0 |
| Apr 12 | Águia d… v Tuna Lu… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Feb 02, 2025 | Castanhal | 1-1 | Águia de Mara… |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Águia de Mara… | 2-0 | Castanhal |
| Apr 08, 2023 | Castanhal | 1-2 | Águia de Mara… |
| Feb 05, 2023 | Castanhal | 1-1 | Águia de Mara… |
| Mar 22, 2022 | Castanhal | 0-1 | Águia de Mara… |
| Mar 19, 2022 | Águia de Mara… | 0-0 | Castanhal |
| Feb 20, 2022 | Águia de Mara… | 1-0 | Castanhal |
Key Factors
Águia de Marabá in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.