Copa Grão Pará · Feb 22, 2026 20:00
Águia de Marabá
PWR 35
Santos
PWR 12
Águia de Marabá
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
Santos
PWR 12
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Águia de Marabá to win (79% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
79%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (12%)
3-0 (10%)
1-0 (9%)
2-1 (9%)
3-1 (8%)
1-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.1
Power & Form
Attack53
Defense48
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.5
Attack35
Defense0
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G4.0
Águia de Marabá Form
DWDLL
STABLE
Santos Form
LWLDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.560%
BTTS50%
Under 2.540%
Águia de Ma… Goals
0
8%
1
20%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
Santos Goals
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 66% | 34% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 3.5 | 20% | 81% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total2.3
Over 3.520%
BTTS Yes43%
Home Clean Sheet43%
Away Clean Sheet24%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (15%)
1-1 (12%)
2-0 (11%)
0-0 (10%)
2-1 (9%)
0-1 (9%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.56
Águia de Marabávs
0.77
SantosDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum91%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Águia de Ma…+2
Gap#6
Santos
WR 0% 2 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Águia de Marabá | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Santos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Águia de Marabá
8.0%
| Feb 18 | Águia d… v Remo | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Águia d… v Cametá | 1-0 |
| Feb 12 | Águia d… v Capitao… | 1-1 |
| Feb 08 | Águia d… v São Rai… | 2-3 |
| Feb 05 | Águia d… v Remo | 3-0 |
| Feb 01 | Águia d… v Tuna Lu… | 0-2 |
| Jan 25 | Águia d… v Santos | 2-0 |
| Apr 12 | Águia d… v Tuna Lu… | 1-1 |
| Apr 06 | Águia d… v RB Brag… | 2-2 |
| Apr 01 | Águia d… v Paysand… | 3-1 |
Santos
6.0%
| Feb 19 | Santos v Cametá | 2-0 |
| Feb 15 | Santos v Velo Cl… | 6-0 |
| Feb 15 | Santos v Paysand… | 0-2 |
| Feb 12 | Santos v Amazôni… | 2-2 |
| Feb 12 | Santos v Athleti… | 2-1 |
| Feb 08 | Santos v Noroeste | 1-2 |
| Feb 08 | Santos v RB Brag… | 1-0 |
| Feb 04 | Santos v São Fra… | 1-0 |
| Feb 04 | Santos v São Pau… | 1-1 |
| Jan 31 | Santos v Castanh… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Jan 25, 2026 | Águia de Mara… | 2-0 | Santos |
| Feb 03, 2024 | Santos | 1-1 | Águia de Mara… |
Key Factors
Santos struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.