Matogrossense · Mar 01, 2026 21:00
Mixto
PWR 35
Mixto
PWR 35
0 - 0
FT
Rioverdense
PWR 37
PWR 37
33% H
27% D
40% A
Final Verdict
Mixto Win
Prediction
2-1
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (50%)
0-1 (20%)
1-0 (15%)
1-1 (6%)
0-2 (4%)
2-0 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 0-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 2% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 60% at home = very high riskH2H: 2/4 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesCombined DR 85% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (33.2%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack30
Defense51
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G1.4
Mixto Form
DDDLL
STABLE
Rioverdense Form
LWWLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.53%
BTTS8%
Under 2.597%
Mixto Goals
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Rioverdense Goals
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 63% | 37% | - |
| 1.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total1.0
Over 3.52%
BTTS Yes13%
Home Clean Sheet74%
Away Clean Sheet50%
Top Correct Scores:
0-0 (37%)
1-0 (26%)
0-1 (11%)
2-0 (9%)
1-1 (8%)
2-1 (3%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Mixtovs
0.39
RioverdenseDecision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
Mixto+1
Gap#6
Rioverdense
WR 31% 42 pts
WR 29% 34 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mixto | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 43 | 37 | 42 |
| Rioverdense | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 27 | 43 | 34 |
Mixto
6.0%
| Feb 26 | Mixto v Botafog… | 1-1 |
| Feb 21 | Mixto v CEOV Op… | 1-1 |
| Feb 14 | Mixto v CEOV Op… | 1-1 |
| Feb 13 | Mixto v Flameng… | 0-1 |
| Feb 08 | Mixto v Nova Mu… | 2-1 |
| Feb 05 | Mixto v Sport S… | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | Mixto v Primave… | 4-0 |
| Jan 28 | Mixto v CEOV Op… | 1-4 |
| Jan 25 | Mixto v Operári… | 0-0 |
| Jan 21 | Mixto v Rioverd… | 0-2 |
Rioverdense
12.0%
| Feb 22 | Rioverd… v Sport S… | 1-2 |
| Feb 15 | Rioverd… v Sport S… | 0-1 |
| Feb 08 | Rioverd… v União R… | 0-2 |
| Feb 04 | Rioverd… v CEOV Op… | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | Rioverd… v Chapada | 1-0 |
| Jan 28 | Rioverd… v Sport S… | 0-1 |
| Jan 25 | Rioverd… v Primave… | 0-0 |
| Jan 21 | Rioverd… v Mixto | 0-2 |
| Jan 18 | Rioverd… v Nova Mu… | 0-0 |
| Jan 14 | Rioverd… v Operári… | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Jan 21, 2026 | Rioverdense | 0-2 | Mixto |
| Feb 01, 2025 | Mixto | 4-1 | Rioverdense |
| Jan 26, 2024 | Mixto | 1-1 | Rioverdense |
| Feb 15, 2023 | Rioverdense | 1-1 | Mixto |
Key Factors
Rioverdense in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.