Pernambucano - 1 · Mar 01, 2026 21:00
Sport Recife
PWR 35
Nautico Recife
PWR 35
Sport Recife
PWR 35
3 - 3
FT
Nautico Recife
PWR 35
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
Sport Recife Win
Prediction
4-4
Score
42%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (11%)
2-1 (10%)
1-0 (10%)
2-0 (9%)
3-1 (6%)
1-2 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 3-3
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
FORM_MOMENTUM
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateBoth teams defensive = 40.0% draw rateH2H: 4/10 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (26.5%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Sport Recife Form
WWWDW
UP
Nautico Recife Form
WWWLW
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.556%
BTTS57%
Under 2.544%
Sport Recife Goals
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Nautico Rec… Goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
8%
4
2%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 71% | 29% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 50% | 50% | - |
| 4.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total3.7
Over 3.550%
BTTS Yes68%
Home Clean Sheet10%
Away Clean Sheet24%
Top Correct Scores:
1-2 (9%)
1-1 (8%)
1-3 (7%)
2-2 (7%)
0-2 (6%)
0-1 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.86
Sport Recifevs
1.11
Nautico RecifeDecision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum71%
Standings48%
Market43%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Sport Recife-1
Gap#1
Nautico Rec…
WR 100% 14 pts
WR 100% 18 pts
Sport Recife
18.0%
| Feb 21 | Sport R… v Retrô F… | 3-2 |
| Feb 12 | Sport R… v Retrô F… | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | Sport R… v Santa C… | 2-1 |
| Jan 28 | Sport R… v Maguary… | 1-1 |
| Jan 24 | Sport R… v Acadêmi… | 3-0 |
| Jan 21 | Sport R… v Decisão | 5-0 |
| Jan 18 | Sport R… v Nautico… | 4-0 |
| Jan 15 | Sport R… v Retrô F… | 2-0 |
| Jan 10 | Sport R… v Jaguaré | 2-2 |
| Dec 03 | Sport R… v Bastia | 2-0 |
Nautico Recife
16.0%
| Feb 22 | Nautico… v Santa C… | 2-0 |
| Feb 11 | Nautico… v Santa C… | 0-1 |
| Jan 31 | Nautico… v Acadêmi… | 2-3 |
| Jan 28 | Nautico… v Retrô F… | 0-1 |
| Jan 25 | Nautico… v Santa C… | 0-4 |
| Jan 22 | Nautico… v Jaguaré | 0-4 |
| Jan 18 | Nautico… v Sport R… | 4-0 |
| Jan 14 | Nautico… v Decisão | 1-2 |
| Jan 09 | Nautico… v Maguary… | 2-0 |
| Oct 11 | Nautico… v Brusque | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 18, 2026 | Nautico Recife | 4-0 | Sport Recife |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Sport Recife | 1-2 | Nautico Recife |
| Apr 06, 2024 | Sport Recife | 0-0 | Nautico Recife |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Nautico Recife | 0-2 | Sport Recife |
| Mar 21, 2024 | Sport Recife | 2-2 | Nautico Recife |
| Feb 24, 2024 | Nautico Recife | 1-0 | Sport Recife |
| Mar 04, 2023 | Nautico Recife | 0-2 | Sport Recife |
| Feb 11, 2023 | Nautico Recife | 2-2 | Sport Recife |
| Sep 29, 2022 | Sport Recife | 2-1 | Nautico Recife |
| Jun 18, 2022 | Nautico Recife | 1-1 | Sport Recife |
Key Factors
Sport Recife in strong form (4W in last 5)
Nautico Recife in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.