Predictions Match Details
Super Copa · Jan 26, 2025 23:30

Peñarol Montevideo
PWR 56
2 - 1
FT

Club Nacional
PWR 35
53% H 23% D 24% A
Final Verdict
Peñarol Montevideo Win
Prediction
1-0
Score
55%
Confidence
STANDARD
Stability STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (46%) 0-1 (22%) 1-0 (14%) 1-1 (7%) 0-2 (5%) 2-0 (2%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
CORRECT - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 55%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy56%
FORM_MOMENTUMHOME_STREAK
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 1/4 draws (25%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (28.3%) - VETO 1X2
Power & Form
Attack18
Defense100
Goals/G0.5
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Peñarol Montev… Form WWWWW
UP
Club Nacional Form DWDWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.54%
BTTS10%
Under 2.596%
Peñarol Mon… Goals
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Club Nacion… Goals
0
62%
1
30%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 64% 36% -
1.5 27% 73% UNDER
2.5 8% 92% UNDER
3.5 2% 98% UNDER
4.5 0% 100% UNDER
5.5 0% 100% UNDER
6.5 0% 100% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total1.0
Over 3.52%
BTTS Yes15%
Home Clean Sheet68%
Away Clean Sheet53%
Top Correct Scores:
0-0 (36%) 1-0 (23%) 0-1 (14%) 1-1 (9%) 2-0 (7%) 2-1 (3%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Peñarol Montev…
vs
0.48
Club Nacional
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Peñarol Mon…
+1
Gap
#2
Club Nacion…
WR 50% 4 pts WR 0% 1 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Peñarol Montevi…2110104
Club Nacional1010001
Peñarol Montev… 20.0%
Dec 01 Peñarol… v Fenix 3-1
Nov 30 Peñarol… v Cerrito 1-3
Nov 27 Peñarol… v Progreso 1-5
Nov 26 Peñarol… v Rampla … 0-1
Nov 17 Peñarol… v Defenso… 2-0
Nov 17 Peñarol… v Miramar 2-2
Nov 14 Peñarol… v Rangers… 0-2
Nov 13 Peñarol… v Cerro L… 0-0
Nov 09 Peñarol… v Peñarol… 2-0
Nov 03 Peñarol… v River P… 0-1
Club Nacional 16.0%
Dec 06 Club Na… v Defenso… 2-2
Dec 01 Club Na… v Boston … 3-1
Nov 28 Club Na… v Danubio 0-0
Nov 23 Club Na… v Atletic… 4-0
Nov 16 Club Na… v Deporti… 5-2
Nov 13 Club Na… v Fenix 0-6
Nov 08 Club Na… v Racing … 0-2
Nov 02 Club Na… v Cerrito 2-0
Oct 29 Club Na… v Plaza C… 4-0
Oct 13 Club Na… v Cerro L… 0-1
Head-to-Head (4)
Oct 06, 2024 Club Nacional 2-1 Peñarol Monte…
Aug 04, 2024 Peñarol Monte… 1-1 Club Nacional
Jun 15, 2024 Club Nacional 2-1 Peñarol Monte…
Feb 06, 2024 Peñarol Monte… 2-1 Club Nacional
Key Factors
Peñarol Montevideo in strong form (5W in last 5)
Club Nacional in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.