Trofeo de Campeones de la Superliga · Dec 22, 2024 00:00
VĂ©lez Sarsfield
PWR 0
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
PWR 77
VĂ©lez Sarsfield
PWR 0
0 - 3
FT
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
PWR 77
51% H
24% D
25% A
Final Verdict
VĂ©lez Sarsfield Win
Prediction
N/A
Score
55%
Confidence
STANDARD
Stability STANDARD
Stability STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (19%)
3-0 (16%)
1-0 (14%)
0-0 (5%)
2-1 (5%)
3-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 0-3
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 55%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy56%
FORM_MOMENTUMFORM_DOMINANT
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Limited data available (Tier 3)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateH2H: 2/8 draws (25%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (31.2%) - VETO 1X2 | Tier 3 data without strong odds (need 85%+)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense0
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack70
Defense65
Goals/G2.0
Conc/G1.0
VĂ©lez Sarsfield Form
WLLWW
STABLE
Estudiantes de… Form
DDWLD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.551%
BTTS23%
Under 2.549%
Vélez Sarsf… Goals
0
7%
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
Estudiantes… Goals
0
75%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 64% | 36% | - |
| 1.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total1.0
Over 3.52%
BTTS Yes13%
Home Clean Sheet76%
Away Clean Sheet48%
Top Correct Scores:
0-0 (36%)
1-0 (27%)
2-0 (10%)
0-1 (10%)
1-1 (7%)
2-1 (3%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.62
VĂ©lez Sarsfieldvs
0.29
Estudiantes de…Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
VĂ©lez Sarsfield
12.0%
| Dec 15 | Vélez S… v Huracan | 2-0 |
| Dec 12 | Vélez S… v Central… | 0-1 |
| Dec 07 | Vélez S… v Unión S… | 1-0 |
| Dec 01 | Vélez S… v Sarmien… | 1-0 |
| Nov 28 | Vélez S… v Boca Ju… | 3-4 |
| Nov 11 | Vélez S… v Deporti… | 1-1 |
| Oct 19 | Vélez S… v River P… | 1-1 |
| Sep 27 | Vélez S… v Indepen… | 1-0 |
| Sep 24 | Vélez S… v Estudia… | 2-0 |
| Aug 17 | Vélez S… v Institu… | 1-0 |
Estudiantes de…
10.0%
| Dec 13 | Estudia… v Argenti… | 2-2 |
| Dec 09 | Estudia… v Belgran… | 2-2 |
| Dec 04 | Estudia… v Racing … | 4-5 |
| Nov 30 | Estudia… v River P… | 1-2 |
| Oct 26 | Estudia… v Atletic… | 0-0 |
| Sep 28 | Estudia… v Defensa… | 1-0 |
| Sep 24 | Estudia… v Vélez S… | 2-0 |
| Aug 27 | Estudia… v Boca Ju… | 1-1 |
| Aug 11 | Estudia… v Indepen… | 0-2 |
| Aug 02 | Estudia… v Newell’… | 1-4 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Sep 24, 2024 | Vélez Sarsfie… | 2-0 | Estudiantes d… |
| May 05, 2024 | Estudiantes d… | 1-1 | Vélez Sarsfie… |
| May 08, 2023 | Estudiantes d… | 2-0 | Vélez Sarsfie… |
| Oct 17, 2022 | Vélez Sarsfie… | 4-0 | Estudiantes d… |
| May 24, 2022 | Vélez Sarsfie… | 4-0 | Estudiantes d… |
| Apr 08, 2022 | Estudiantes d… | 4-1 | Vélez Sarsfie… |
| Mar 07, 2022 | Vélez Sarsfie… | 1-1 | Estudiantes d… |
| Nov 28, 2021 | Estudiantes d… | 1-0 | Vélez Sarsfie… |
Key Factors
VĂ©lez Sarsfield in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.