Copa de la Liga Profesional · May 05, 2024 18:30
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
PWR 56
VĂ©lez Sarsfield
PWR 48
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
PWR 56
1 - 1
FT
VĂ©lez Sarsfield
PWR 48
41% H
26% D
33% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (21%)
1-0 (17%)
3-0 (17%)
0-0 (7%)
2-1 (4%)
1-1 (3%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.2
Power & Form
Attack35
Defense83
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G0.5
Attack35
Defense61
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.1
Estudiantes de… Form
DWLLW
STABLE
VĂ©lez Sarsfield Form
LWWWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.545%
BTTS17%
Under 2.555%
Estudiantes… Goals
0
9%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Vélez Sarsf… Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 74% | 26% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 38% | 62% | - |
| 2.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total1.3
Over 3.55%
BTTS Yes23%
Home Clean Sheet44%
Away Clean Sheet60%
Top Correct Scores:
0-0 (26%)
0-1 (21%)
1-0 (14%)
1-1 (11%)
0-2 (9%)
1-2 (5%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.44
Estudiantes de…vs
0.20
VĂ©lez SarsfieldDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings50%
Market50%
League Standings
#6
Estudiantes…-2
Gap#4
Vélez Sarsf…
WR 50% 11 pts
WR 50% 13 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estudiantes de … | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 11 |
| VĂ©lez Sarsfield | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 13 |
Estudiantes de…
10.0%
| Apr 30 | Estudia… v Boca Ju… | 1-1 |
| Apr 13 | Estudia… v Boca Ju… | 1-0 |
| Mar 29 | Estudia… v Defensa… | 1-0 |
| Mar 09 | Estudia… v Sarmien… | 3-1 |
| Feb 19 | Estudia… v Newell’… | 2-0 |
| Feb 09 | Estudia… v Tigre | 2-0 |
| Dec 14 | Estudia… v Defensa… | 1-0 |
| Nov 26 | Estudia… v Deporti… | 1-1 |
| Nov 23 | Estudia… v Boca Ju… | 2-3 |
| Nov 22 | Estudia… v Deporti… | 0-0 |
VĂ©lez Sarsfield
12.0%
| Mar 30 | Vélez S… v Tallere… | 1-0 |
| Mar 17 | Vélez S… v Institu… | 1-0 |
| Feb 15 | Vélez S… v Deporti… | 1-2 |
| Feb 10 | Vélez S… v Gimnasi… | 3-1 |
| Feb 04 | Vélez S… v River P… | 5-0 |
| Jan 31 | Vélez S… v Indepen… | 0-1 |
| Nov 05 | Vélez S… v Tallere… | 1-1 |
| Oct 29 | Vélez S… v Institu… | 0-1 |
| Sep 03 | Vélez S… v River P… | 2-0 |
| Aug 27 | Vélez S… v Indepen… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| May 08, 2023 | Estudiantes d… | 2-0 | Vélez Sarsfie… |
| Oct 17, 2022 | Vélez Sarsfie… | 4-0 | Estudiantes d… |
| May 24, 2022 | Vélez Sarsfie… | 4-0 | Estudiantes d… |
| Apr 08, 2022 | Estudiantes d… | 4-1 | Vélez Sarsfie… |
| Mar 07, 2022 | Vélez Sarsfie… | 1-1 | Estudiantes d… |
| Nov 28, 2021 | Estudiantes d… | 1-0 | Vélez Sarsfie… |
Key Factors
VĂ©lez Sarsfield in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.