AFC Champions League · Mar 03, 2026 07:45

Melbourne City
PWR 35
1 - 1
FT

Buriram United
PWR 35
23% H 29% D 48% A
Final Verdict
Buriram United Win
Prediction
1-0
Score
42%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
0-2 (12%) 0-1 (12%) 1-2 (10%) 1-1 (10%) 0-3 (8%) 1-3 (7%)
1X2H
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 1-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 42%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUM
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (25.9%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Melbourne City Form WLLLD
STABLE
Buriram United Form WWWWW
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.552%
BTTS49%
Under 2.548%
Melbourne C… Goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Buriram Uni… Goals
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 95% 5% OVER
1.5 79% 21% OVER
2.5 56% 44% -
3.5 34% 66% UNDER
4.5 17% 83% UNDER
5.5 8% 92% UNDER
6.5 3% 97% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total2.9
Over 3.534%
BTTS Yes50%
Home Clean Sheet12%
Away Clean Sheet43%
Top Correct Scores:
0-2 (12%) 0-1 (11%) 1-2 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 0-3 (8%) 1-3 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
Melbourne City
vs
2.02
Buriram United
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum35%
Standings48%
Market50%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
Melbourne C…
-1
Gap
#4
Buriram Uni…
WR 50% 14 pts WR 25% 14 pts
Melbourne City 6.0%
Feb 28 Melbour… v Altona … 1-2
Feb 28 Melbour… v Auckland 3-0
Feb 21 Melbour… v Melbour… 1-3
Feb 19 Melbour… v Hume Ci… 1-2
Feb 18 Melbour… v Gangwon… 0-0
Feb 14 Melbour… v Avondale 0-2
Feb 11 Melbour… v Ulsan H… 1-2
Feb 07 Melbour… v Western… 1-1
Jan 30 Melbour… v Bray Wa… 3-0
Jan 30 Melbour… v Welling… 2-2
Buriram United 20.0%
Feb 25 Buriram… v Khon Ka… 6-0
Feb 21 Buriram… v Sukhoth… 6-0
Feb 17 Buriram… v Shangha… 2-0
Feb 14 Buriram… v Bangkok… 1-3
Feb 10 Buriram… v Chengdu… 0-1
Feb 04 Buriram… v Dynamic… 6-0
Feb 01 Buriram… v Bangkok… 0-2
Jan 28 Buriram… v Tampine… 1-4
Jan 21 Buriram… v Prachuap 3-2
Jan 18 Buriram… v Chiangr… 8-1
Head-to-Head (3)
Oct 21, 2025 Melbourne City 2-1 Buriram United
Nov 08, 2023 Melbourne City 0-1 Buriram United
Oct 25, 2023 Buriram United 0-2 Melbourne City
Key Factors
Buriram United in strong form (5W in last 5)
Melbourne City struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.