Premier League · Mar 08, 2026 15:00
Neftchi
PWR 35
Alay
PWR 35
Neftchi
PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Alay
PWR 35
37%
27%
36%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Neftchi Win
Score
1-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (25%)1-0 (25%)2-0 (12%)0-1 (10%)1-1 (10%)2-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
16%
Under 2.5
84%
84%
BTTS
No
No 20%
Over 3.5
16%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Neftchi
LLDWL
DOWN
Alay
WDWLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)WR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (27.8%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Neftchivs
0.38
AlayGoal Probability
Neftchi
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
2%
Alay
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (16%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (12%)0-2 (10%)1-0 (10%)1-2 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 62% | 38% | - |
| 2.5 | 35% | 65% | - |
| 3.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#13
Neftchi-8
Gap#5
Alay
WR 0% 0 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
Neftchi
6.0%
| Mar 01 | Neftchi v Ozgon | 1-2 |
| Nov 09 | Neftchi v Alay | 4-0 |
| Nov 04 | Neftchi v Alay | 1-1 |
| Oct 27 | Neftchi v Asiagoal | 2-1 |
| Oct 12 | Neftchi v OshMU A… | 1-0 |
| Oct 05 | Neftchi v Talant | 1-0 |
| Sep 27 | Neftchi v Bishkek… | 0-1 |
| Sep 21 | Neftchi v Ozgon | 3-2 |
| Sep 17 | Neftchi v Abdish-… | 0-1 |
| Sep 12 | Neftchi v Kara-Ba… | 1-3 |
Alay
12.0%
| Mar 03 | Alay v Talant | 2-1 |
| Mar 01 | Alay v Ilbirs | 1-1 |
| Nov 09 | Alay v Neftchi | 4-0 |
| Nov 08 | Alay v Muras U… | 1-0 |
| Nov 05 | Alay v OshMU A… | 2-2 |
| Nov 04 | Alay v Neftchi | 1-1 |
| Oct 30 | Alay v Ozgon | 0-1 |
| Oct 25 | Alay v Bars | 3-0 |
| Oct 20 | Alay v OshMU A… | 0-0 |
| Oct 18 | Alay v Kara-Ba… | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Nov 09, 2025 | Alay | 4-0 | Neftchi |
| Nov 04, 2025 | Neftchi | 1-1 | Alay |
| Mar 27, 2025 | Alay | 1-2 | Neftchi |
| Mar 04, 2025 | Neftchi | 0-2 | Alay |
| Nov 21, 2024 | Alay | 2-1 | Neftchi |
| Oct 01, 2024 | Neftchi | 2-4 | Alay |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Neftchi | 1-0 | Alay |
| May 26, 2024 | Neftchi | 2-4 | Alay |
| May 15, 2024 | Neftchi | 0-2 | Alay |
| Apr 29, 2024 | Alay | 1-1 | Neftchi |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
68%
Standings
34%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Neftchi struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.