Premier League · Mar 01, 2026 23:59
Nouakchott King's
PWR 35
Nouakchott King's
PWR 35
0 - 2
FT
Police
PWR 35
PWR 35
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (8%)1-1 (7%)2-2 (7%)3-1 (7%)1-2 (6%)3-2 (5%)
WRONG 0-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
72%
72%
Under 2.5
28%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 73%
Over 3.5
31%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Nouakchott Kin…
LDWWD
STABLE
Police
LDDLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityHome team draws 56% at home = very high riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesAway draws 56% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 111% = 50.7% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.39
Nouakchott Kin…vs
1.63
PoliceGoal Probability
Nouakchott …
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Police
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
6%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-0 (9%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (8%)1-2 (8%)2-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 77% | 23% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 54% | 47% | - |
| 3.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 16% | 85% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#11
Nouakchott …-6
Gap#5
Police
WR 11% 17 pts
WR 22% 24 pts
Nouakchott Kin…
12.0%
| Feb 14 | Nouakch… v AC Doua… | 1-0 |
| Feb 06 | Nouakch… v Ksar | 2-2 |
| Feb 01 | Nouakch… v N'Zidane | 2-6 |
| Jan 25 | Nouakch… v Gendrim | 2-0 |
| Jan 10 | Nouakch… v Kaédi | 0-0 |
| Jan 06 | Nouakch… v Nouadhi… | 1-1 |
| Dec 30 | Nouakch… v Chemal | 1-1 |
| Dec 20 | Nouakch… v Nouakch… | 2-0 |
| Dec 16 | Nouakch… v SNIM | 2-3 |
| Dec 05 | Nouakch… v Pompiers | 2-0 |
Police
8.0%
| Feb 17 | Police v Tevragh… | 4-0 |
| Feb 07 | Police v AC Doua… | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Police v Ksar | 1-1 |
| Jan 26 | Police v N'Zidane | 1-2 |
| Jan 13 | Police v Gendrim | 2-1 |
| Jan 03 | Police v Kaédi | 0-4 |
| Dec 27 | Police v Nouadhi… | 1-1 |
| Dec 21 | Police v Chemal | 1-1 |
| Dec 14 | Police v Nouakch… | 0-1 |
| Dec 06 | Police v SNIM | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Nov 10, 2025 | Police | 2-0 | Nouakchott Ki… |
| May 27, 2023 | Police | 1-2 | Nouakchott Ki… |
| Dec 25, 2022 | Nouakchott Ki… | 3-0 | Police |
| Apr 03, 2022 | Nouakchott Ki… | 0-2 | Police |
| Oct 24, 2021 | Police | 0-2 | Nouakchott Ki… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
71%
Standings
38%
Market
50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.