Taça de Portugal · Mar 03, 2026 20:45
Sporting CP
PWR 77
FC Porto
PWR 85
Sporting CP
PWR 77
1 - 0
FT
FC Porto
PWR 85
39% H
26% D
35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (63% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
63%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (10%)
1-1 (9%)
2-0 (9%)
1-0 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
3-0 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.3
Power & Form
Attack88
Defense63
Goals/G2.5
Conc/G1.1
Attack86
Defense75
Goals/G2.5
Conc/G0.7
Sporting CP Form
LWLWW
STABLE
FC Porto Form
WWWWL
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.563%
BTTS61%
Under 2.537%
Sporting CP Goals
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
FC Porto Goals
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 9% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 45% | 55% | - |
| 3.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total2.5
Over 3.524%
BTTS Yes47%
Home Clean Sheet41%
Away Clean Sheet21%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (13%)
1-1 (12%)
2-0 (11%)
2-1 (9%)
0-0 (9%)
0-1 (8%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.24
Sporting CPvs
1.14
FC PortoDecision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum81%
Standings50%
Market47%
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Sporting CP-2
Gap#1
FC Porto
WR 81% 40 pts
WR 94% 48 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP | 16 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 17 | 40 |
| FC Porto | 17 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 48 |
Sporting CP
12.0%
| Feb 28 | Sportin… v Leixões… | 0-1 |
| Feb 27 | Sportin… v Estoril | 3-0 |
| Feb 21 | Sportin… v MarĂtimo | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Sportin… v Moreire… | 0-3 |
| Feb 15 | Sportin… v Portimo… | 4-3 |
| Feb 15 | Sportin… v Famalic… | 1-0 |
| Feb 10 | Sportin… v Pacos F… | 0-3 |
| Feb 09 | Sportin… v FC Porto | 1-1 |
| Feb 05 | Sportin… v AVS | 3-2 |
| Feb 04 | Sportin… v Detroit… | 2-2 |
FC Porto
16.0%
| Feb 28 | FC Porto v Moreire… | 0-3 |
| Feb 27 | FC Porto v Arouca | 3-1 |
| Feb 23 | FC Porto v Pacos F… | 1-0 |
| Feb 22 | FC Porto v Rio Ave… | 1-0 |
| Feb 18 | FC Porto v Spartak… | 3-1 |
| Feb 15 | FC Porto v União d… | 2-2 |
| Feb 15 | FC Porto v Nacional | 0-1 |
| Feb 09 | FC Porto v Sportin… | 1-1 |
| Feb 06 | FC Porto v Académi… | 3-1 |
| Feb 04 | FC Porto v Artsakh | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 09, 2026 | FC Porto | 1-1 | Sporting CP |
| Jan 11, 2026 | FC Porto | 2-1 | Sporting CP |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Sporting CP | 1-2 | FC Porto |
| Feb 07, 2025 | FC Porto | 1-1 | Sporting CP |
| Jan 07, 2025 | Sporting CP | 1-0 | FC Porto |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Sporting CP | 2-0 | FC Porto |
| Aug 03, 2024 | Sporting CP | 3-4 | FC Porto |
| May 26, 2024 | FC Porto | 2-1 | Sporting CP |
| Apr 28, 2024 | FC Porto | 2-2 | Sporting CP |
| Dec 18, 2023 | Sporting CP | 2-0 | FC Porto |
Key Factors
Sporting CP in strong form (3W in last 5)
FC Porto in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.