EFL Trophy · Mar 04, 2026 19:30

Luton
PWR 0

Northampton Town FC
PWR 31

Luton
PWR 0
0-1
predicted

Northampton Town FC
PWR 31
51% H
24% D
25% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Northampton Town FC to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
0-1
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (17%)
1-0 (16%)
3-0 (12%)
2-1 (8%)
0-0 (7%)
1-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): EFL Trophy
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense0
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack27
Defense61
Goals/G0.9
Conc/G1.3
Luton Form
DWDLL
STABLE
Northampton To… Form
DLLLD
STABLE
Key Players
Luton
No player data
Northampton Town FC
Joe Wormleighton
7.9
Max Dyche
7.61G
Nesta Guinness-Wa…
7.01G
Dean Campbell
7.2
Terry Taylor
6.9
Score & Markets
Over 2.547%
BTTS32%
Under 2.553%
Luton Goals
0
11%
1
25%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Northampton… Goals
0
64%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 67% | 33% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 3.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total2.3
Over 3.520%
BTTS Yes44%
Home Clean Sheet43%
Away Clean Sheet23%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (15%)
1-1 (12%)
2-0 (11%)
0-0 (10%)
2-1 (9%)
0-1 (8%)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.18
Lutonvs
0.45
Northampton To…Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum90%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Luton0
Gap#1
Northampton…
WR 100% 6 pts
WR 100% 9 pts
Luton
8.0%
| Feb 28 | Luton v Port Va… | 1-1 |
| Feb 24 | Luton v Plymouth | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | Luton v Burton … | 1-1 |
| Feb 18 | Luton v Wigan | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Luton v Cardiff | 3-1 |
| Feb 07 | Luton v Bradford | 2-1 |
| Jan 31 | Luton v Blackpo… | 1-0 |
| Jan 27 | Luton v Hudders… | 1-0 |
| Jan 24 | Luton v Plymouth | 1-0 |
| Jan 17 | Luton v Lincoln | 2-2 |
Northampton To…
4.0%
| Feb 28 | Northam… v Peterbo… | 1-1 |
| Feb 24 | Northam… v Port Va… | 0-1 |
| Feb 21 | Northam… v Leyton … | 1-2 |
| Feb 17 | Northam… v Lincoln | 4-0 |
| Feb 14 | Northam… v Exeter … | 0-0 |
| Feb 10 | Northam… v AFC Wim… | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Northam… v Stevena… | 3-1 |
| Feb 03 | Northam… v Barnsley | 2-2 |
| Jan 31 | Northam… v Reading… | 0-2 |
| Jan 27 | Northam… v Rotherh… | 2-1 |
Key Factors
Northampton Town FC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.