Copa del Rey · Mar 04, 2026 20:00
Real Sociedad
PWR 35
Athletic Club
PWR 30
Real Sociedad
PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Athletic Club
PWR 30
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Real Sociedad to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-2 (6%)
1-3 (6%)
2-2 (6%)
2-3 (6%)
1-1 (4%)
2-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Copa del Rey
Power & Form
Attack41
Defense59
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.4
Attack29
Defense58
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.4
Real Sociedad Form
LWWDW
STABLE
Athletic Club Form
DWWLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.577%
BTTS82%
Under 2.523%
Real Socied… Goals
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Athletic Cl… Goals
0
5%
1
15%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 68% | 32% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 49% | 51% | - |
| 5.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 19% | 81% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total4.6
Over 3.568%
BTTS Yes79%
Home Clean Sheet15%
Away Clean Sheet6%
Top Correct Scores:
2-1 (7%)
2-2 (7%)
3-1 (6%)
3-2 (6%)
1-1 (5%)
1-2 (5%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.95
Real Sociedadvs
3.00
Athletic ClubDecision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum35%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Real Socied…+1
Gap#2
Athletic Cl…
WR 67% 40 pts
WR 67% 39 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 40 |
| Athletic Club | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 39 |
Real Sociedad
14.0%
| Mar 01 | Real So… v Deporti… | 2-3 |
| Feb 28 | Real So… v Mallorca | 0-1 |
| Feb 23 | Real So… v Cadiz | 0-2 |
| Feb 21 | Real So… v Oviedo | 3-3 |
| Feb 16 | Real So… v Malaga | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | Real So… v Real Ma… | 4-1 |
| Feb 11 | Real So… v Athleti… | 0-1 |
| Feb 07 | Real So… v FC Ando… | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Real So… v Elche | 3-1 |
| Feb 04 | Real So… v Alavés | 2-3 |
Athletic Club
14.0%
| Feb 28 | Athleti… v Rayo Va… | 1-1 |
| Feb 20 | Athleti… v Elche | 2-1 |
| Feb 15 | Athleti… v Oviedo | 1-2 |
| Feb 11 | Athleti… v Real So… | 0-1 |
| Feb 08 | Athleti… v Levante | 4-2 |
| Feb 04 | Athleti… v Valencia | 1-2 |
| Feb 01 | Athleti… v Real So… | 1-1 |
| Jan 28 | Athleti… v Sportin… | 2-3 |
| Jan 24 | Athleti… v Sevilla… | 2-1 |
| Jan 21 | Athleti… v Atalanta | 2-3 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 11, 2026 | Athletic Club | 0-1 | Real Sociedad |
| Feb 01, 2026 | Athletic Club | 1-1 | Real Sociedad |
| Nov 01, 2025 | Real Sociedad | 3-2 | Athletic Club |
| May 04, 2025 | Real Sociedad | 0-0 | Athletic Club |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Athletic Club | 1-0 | Real Sociedad |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Athletic Club | 2-1 | Real Sociedad |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Real Sociedad | 3-0 | Athletic Club |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Athletic Club | 2-0 | Real Sociedad |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Real Sociedad | 3-1 | Athletic Club |
| Aug 05, 2022 | Athletic Club | 1-0 | Real Sociedad |
Key Factors
Real Sociedad in strong form (3W in last 5)
Athletic Club in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.