Copa del Rey · Feb 12, 2026 20:00

Atlético Madrid
PWR 45
4 - 0
FT
FC Barcelona
PWR 67
35% H 27% D 38% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Atlético Madrid to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (13%) 1-0 (11%) 0-1 (10%) 2-1 (8%) 0-0 (8%) 1-2 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 4-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Copa del Rey
Power & Form
Attack52
Defense77
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G0.8
Attack100
Defense39
Goals/G2.9
Conc/G1.8
Atlético Madrid Form LWDLW
STABLE
FC Barcelona Form WWLWW
STABLE
Key Players
Atlético Madrid
Antoine Griezmann 8.21G
Alexander Sørloth 6.92G
Pablo Barrios 7.21A
Nicolás González 7.5
Julián Alvarez 7.1
FC Barcelona No player data
Score & Markets
Over 2.545%
BTTS51%
Under 2.555%
Atlético Ma… Goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
FC Barcelona Goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
3%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 99% 2% OVER
1.5 92% 8% OVER
2.5 79% 21% OVER
3.5 61% 39% -
4.5 41% 59% -
5.5 25% 75% UNDER
6.5 13% 87% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total4.2
Over 3.561%
BTTS Yes77%
Home Clean Sheet13%
Away Clean Sheet12%
Top Correct Scores:
2-2 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-2 (7%) 1-1 (7%) 3-2 (5%) 2-3 (5%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Atlético Madrid
vs
1.18
FC Barcelona
Decision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Atlético Ma…
+6
Gap
#10
FC Barcelona
WR 64% 28 pts WR 63% 16 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Atlético Madrid14914311528
FC Barcelona8512231416
Atlético Madrid 10.0%
Feb 08 Atlétic… v Real Be… 0-1
Feb 05 Atlétic… v Real Be… 0-5
Jan 31 Atlétic… v Levante 0-0
Jan 28 Atlétic… v Bodø/Gl… 1-2
Jan 25 Atlétic… v Mallorca 3-0
Jan 21 Atlétic… v Galatas… 1-1
Jan 18 Atlétic… v Alavés 1-0
Jan 13 Atlétic… v Deporti… 0-1
Jan 08 Atlétic… v Real Ma… 1-2
Jan 04 Atlétic… v Real So… 1-1
FC Barcelona 16.0%
Feb 07 FC Barc… v Mallorca 3-0
Feb 03 FC Barc… v Albacete 1-2
Feb 01 FC Barc… v Guayaqu… 0-1
Jan 31 FC Barc… v Elche 1-3
Jan 28 FC Barc… v FC Cope… 4-1
Jan 25 FC Barc… v Oviedo 3-0
Jan 21 FC Barc… v Slavia … 2-4
Jan 18 FC Barc… v Real So… 2-1
Jan 11 FC Barc… v Real Ma… 3-2
Jan 07 FC Barc… v Athleti… 5-0
Head-to-Head (10)
Dec 02, 2025 FC Barcelona 3-1 Atlético Madr…
Apr 02, 2025 Atlético Madr… 0-1 FC Barcelona
Mar 16, 2025 Atlético Madr… 2-4 FC Barcelona
Feb 25, 2025 FC Barcelona 4-4 Atlético Madr…
Dec 21, 2024 FC Barcelona 1-2 Atlético Madr…
Mar 17, 2024 Atlético Madr… 0-3 FC Barcelona
Dec 03, 2023 FC Barcelona 1-0 Atlético Madr…
Apr 23, 2023 FC Barcelona 1-0 Atlético Madr…
Jan 08, 2023 Atlético Madr… 0-1 FC Barcelona
Feb 06, 2022 FC Barcelona 4-2 Atlético Madr…
Key Factors
FC Barcelona in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.