Copa del Rey · Feb 11, 2026 20:00
Athletic Club
PWR 30
Real Sociedad
PWR 35
Athletic Club
PWR 30
0 - 1
FT
Real Sociedad
PWR 35
33% H
27% D
40% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Real Sociedad to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
1-2
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-2 (7%)
1-3 (7%)
2-2 (6%)
2-3 (6%)
1-1 (5%)
2-1 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Copa del Rey
Power & Form
Attack29
Defense58
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G1.4
Attack41
Defense59
Goals/G1.4
Conc/G1.4
Athletic Club Form
WWDLL
STABLE
Real Sociedad Form
WWWWD
UP
Key Players
Athletic Club
Gorka Guruzeta
7.12G1A
Unai Gómez
7.21G1A
Nico Williams
7.21G
Robert Navarro
7.21G
Yuri Berchiche
6.81A
Real Sociedad
Mikel Oyarzabal
7.53G
Gonçalo Guedes
7.62G1A
Unai Marrero
10.0
Carlos Soler
7.31A
Sergio Gómez
7.21A
Score & Markets
Over 2.576%
BTTS77%
Under 2.524%
Athletic Cl… Goals
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4
7%
Real Socied… Goals
0
6%
1
17%
2
24%
3
22%
4
15%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 67% | 33% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 48% | 52% | - |
| 5.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total4.6
Over 3.567%
BTTS Yes80%
Home Clean Sheet12%
Away Clean Sheet8%
Top Correct Scores:
2-2 (7%)
2-1 (7%)
3-2 (6%)
1-2 (6%)
3-1 (6%)
1-1 (5%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Athletic Clubvs
2.78
Real SociedadDecision Breakdown
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum35%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Athletic Cl…-1
Gap#1
Real Socied…
WR 67% 39 pts
WR 67% 40 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletic Club | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 39 |
| Real Sociedad | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 40 |
Athletic Club
10.0%
| Feb 08 | Athleti… v Levante | 4-2 |
| Feb 04 | Athleti… v Valencia | 1-2 |
| Feb 01 | Athleti… v Real So… | 1-1 |
| Jan 28 | Athleti… v Sportin… | 2-3 |
| Jan 24 | Athleti… v Sevilla… | 2-1 |
| Jan 21 | Athleti… v Atalanta | 2-3 |
| Jan 17 | Athleti… v Mallorca | 3-2 |
| Jan 13 | Athleti… v Cultura… | 3-4 |
| Jan 07 | Athleti… v FC Barc… | 5-0 |
| Jan 03 | Athleti… v Osasuna | 1-1 |
Real Sociedad
18.0%
| Feb 07 | Real So… v FC Ando… | 1-2 |
| Feb 07 | Real So… v Elche | 3-1 |
| Feb 04 | Real So… v Alavés | 2-3 |
| Feb 03 | Real So… v Notting… | 0-1 |
| Feb 01 | Real So… v Athleti… | 1-1 |
| Jan 30 | Real So… v Las Pal… | 1-1 |
| Jan 25 | Real So… v Celta d… | 3-1 |
| Jan 24 | Real So… v Levante | 2-0 |
| Jan 21 | Real So… v Chelsea… | 2-3 |
| Jan 18 | Real So… v Barcelo… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 01, 2026 | Athletic Club | 1-1 | Real Sociedad |
| Nov 01, 2025 | Real Sociedad | 3-2 | Athletic Club |
| May 04, 2025 | Real Sociedad | 0-0 | Athletic Club |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Athletic Club | 1-0 | Real Sociedad |
| Jan 13, 2024 | Athletic Club | 2-1 | Real Sociedad |
| Sep 30, 2023 | Real Sociedad | 3-0 | Athletic Club |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Athletic Club | 2-0 | Real Sociedad |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Real Sociedad | 3-1 | Athletic Club |
| Aug 05, 2022 | Athletic Club | 1-0 | Real Sociedad |
| Feb 20, 2022 | Athletic Club | 4-0 | Real Sociedad |
Key Factors
Real Sociedad in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.