Coupe de France · Mar 04, 2026 20:00
Marseille
PWR 48
Toulouse
PWR 39
Marseille
PWR 48
2-1
predicted
Toulouse
PWR 39
51% H
24% D
25% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Marseille to win (95% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
95%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (13%)
1-1 (13%)
0-0 (10%)
0-1 (10%)
2-0 (9%)
2-1 (9%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Coupe de France
Power & Form
Attack69
Defense67
Goals/G2.3
Conc/G1.1
Attack47
Defense66
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.2
Marseille Form
WLDLW
STABLE
Toulouse Form
LDLLW
STABLE
Key Players
Marseille
Mason Greenwood
8.71G1A
Amine Gouiri
7.91G1A
Timothy Weah
8.01A
Emerson Palmieri
7.0
Pierre-Emile Højb…
7.2
Toulouse
No player data
Score & Markets
Over 2.540%
BTTS46%
Under 2.560%
Marseille Goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Toulouse Goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 65% | 35% | - |
| 3.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 4.5 | 25% | 76% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total3.3
Over 3.543%
BTTS Yes66%
Home Clean Sheet19%
Away Clean Sheet19%
Top Correct Scores:
1-1 (10%)
1-2 (8%)
2-1 (8%)
2-2 (7%)
0-1 (6%)
1-0 (6%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.32
Marseillevs
0.97
ToulouseDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum64%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#8
Marseille+12
Gap#20
Toulouse
WR 56% 17 pts
WR 43% 11 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 17 |
| Toulouse | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 11 |
Marseille
10.0%
| Mar 01 | Marseil… v Lyon | 3-2 |
| Feb 20 | Marseil… v Stade B… | 2-0 |
| Feb 14 | Marseil… v Strasbo… | 2-2 |
| Feb 08 | Marseil… v Paris S… | 5-0 |
| Feb 03 | Marseil… v Rennes … | 3-0 |
| Jan 31 | Marseil… v Paris FC | 2-2 |
| Jan 28 | Marseil… v Club Br… | 3-0 |
| Jan 24 | Marseil… v Lens | 3-1 |
| Jan 21 | Marseil… v Liverpo… | 0-3 |
| Jan 17 | Marseil… v Angers | 2-5 |
Toulouse
6.0%
| Feb 28 | Toulouse v Rennes … | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Toulouse v Paris FC | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Toulouse v LE Havr… | 2-1 |
| Feb 08 | Toulouse v Angers | 1-0 |
| Feb 04 | Toulouse v Amiens | 1-0 |
| Feb 01 | Toulouse v Auxerre | 0-0 |
| Jan 25 | Toulouse v Stade B… | 0-2 |
| Jan 17 | Toulouse v Nice | 5-1 |
| Jan 10 | Toulouse v Angers | 1-1 |
| Jan 02 | Toulouse v Lens | 0-3 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Nov 29, 2025 | Marseille | 2-2 | Toulouse |
| Apr 06, 2025 | Marseille | 3-2 | Toulouse |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Toulouse | 1-3 | Marseille |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Toulouse | 1-3 | Marseille |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Toulouse | 2-2 | Marseille |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Toulouse | 2-2 | Marseille |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Marseille | 0-0 | Toulouse |
| Feb 19, 2023 | Toulouse | 2-3 | Marseille |
| Dec 29, 2022 | Marseille | 6-1 | Toulouse |
Key Factors
Toulouse struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.