KNVB Beker · Mar 03, 2026 19:00
NEC Nijmegen
PWR 80
PSV Eindhoven
PWR 81
NEC Nijmegen
PWR 80
3 - 2
FT
PSV Eindhoven
PWR 81
31% H
28% D
41% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (10%)
2-1 (10%)
1-0 (8%)
2-0 (8%)
1-2 (6%)
3-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 3-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityHome team drew 2/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Power & Form
Attack99
Defense59
Goals/G2.8
Conc/G1.2
Attack100
Defense67
Goals/G2.9
Conc/G0.9
NEC Nijmegen Form
LDDLW
STABLE
PSV Eindhoven Form
WWLWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.559%
BTTS60%
Under 2.541%
NEC Nijmegen Goals
0
15%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
PSV Eindhov… Goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 88% | 13% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 73% | 27% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 5.5 | 38% | 62% | - |
| 6.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total5.0
Over 3.573%
BTTS Yes83%
Home Clean Sheet13%
Away Clean Sheet5%
Top Correct Scores:
2-2 (6%)
3-2 (6%)
2-1 (6%)
3-1 (6%)
4-2 (5%)
4-1 (4%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.88
NEC Nijmegenvs
1.25
PSV EindhovenDecision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum69%
Standings50%
Market35%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#7
NEC Nijmegen-6
Gap#1
PSV Eindhov…
WR 83% 15 pts
WR 75% 36 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 15 |
| PSV Eindhoven | 16 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 47 | 15 | 36 |
NEC Nijmegen
8.0%
| Feb 28 | NEC Nij… v Fortuna… | 2-3 |
| Feb 21 | NEC Nij… v Ajax | 1-1 |
| Feb 17 | NEC Nij… v Sparta … | 1-1 |
| Feb 11 | NEC Nij… v Utrecht | 1-3 |
| Feb 07 | NEC Nij… v Heracles | 4-1 |
| Feb 04 | NEC Nij… v FC Vole… | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | NEC Nij… v AZ Alkm… | 1-3 |
| Jan 24 | NEC Nij… v PEC Zwo… | 2-1 |
| Jan 20 | NEC Nij… v De Tref… | 1-2 |
| Jan 17 | NEC Nij… v NAC Bre… | 3-4 |
PSV Eindhoven
16.0%
| Feb 28 | PSV Ein… v Heracles | 1-3 |
| Feb 21 | PSV Ein… v Heerenv… | 3-1 |
| Feb 13 | PSV Ein… v FC Vole… | 2-1 |
| Feb 08 | PSV Ein… v Groning… | 1-2 |
| Feb 04 | PSV Ein… v Heerenv… | 4-1 |
| Feb 01 | PSV Ein… v Feyenoo… | 3-0 |
| Jan 28 | PSV Ein… v Bayern … | 1-2 |
| Jan 24 | PSV Ein… v NAC Bre… | 2-2 |
| Jan 21 | PSV Ein… v Newcast… | 3-0 |
| Jan 17 | PSV Ein… v Fortuna… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Sep 13, 2025 | NEC Nijmegen | 3-5 | PSV Eindhoven |
| Feb 01, 2025 | NEC Nijmegen | 3-3 | PSV Eindhoven |
| Sep 14, 2024 | PSV Eindhoven | 2-0 | NEC Nijmegen |
| Sep 14, 2024 | PSV Eindhoven | 2-0 | NEC Nijmegen |
| Mar 30, 2024 | NEC Nijmegen | 3-1 | PSV Eindhoven |
| Mar 30, 2024 | NEC Nijmegen | 3-1 | PSV Eindhoven |
| Sep 16, 2023 | PSV Eindhoven | 4-0 | NEC Nijmegen |
| Apr 01, 2023 | NEC Nijmegen | 2-4 | PSV Eindhoven |
| Oct 30, 2022 | PSV Eindhoven | 3-0 | NEC Nijmegen |
| May 11, 2022 | PSV Eindhoven | 3-2 | NEC Nijmegen |
Key Factors
PSV Eindhoven in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.