Cup · Mar 05, 2026 17:45
Dinamo Moscow
PWR 54
Spartak Moscow
PWR 62
Dinamo Moscow
PWR 54
5 - 2
FT
Spartak Moscow
PWR 62
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (8%)3-1 (6%)2-0 (5%)2-1 (4%)1-0 (2%)3-2 (2%)
WRONG 5-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.64x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.66x
Over 2.5
60%
Under 2.5
40%
BTTS
Yes 51%
Over 3.5
78%
78%
Team Comparison
66Attack58
49Defense70
Goals/G
1.91.6
Conc/G
1.50.9
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Dinamo Moscow
WWDLW
STABLE
Spartak Moscow
WWLWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.49
Dinamo Moscowvs
0.73
Spartak MoscowGoal Probability
Dinamo Mosc…
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Spartak Mos…
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
3-1 (7%)4-1 (6%)2-1 (5%)3-2 (5%)4-2 (5%)5-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 100% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 78% | 22% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 62% | 38% | - |
| 5.5 | 45% | 56% | - |
| 6.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Dinamo Mosc…-3
Gap#1
Spartak Mos…
WR 46% 41 pts
WR 58% 114 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Moscow | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 49 | 38 | 41 |
| Spartak Moscow | 59 | 34 | 12 | 13 | 97 | 51 | 114 |
Dinamo Moscow
14.0%
| Mar 01 | Dinamo … v Krylya … | 4-0 |
| Feb 21 | Dinamo … v Slavia … | 1-3 |
| Feb 18 | Dinamo … v Naftan | 1-1 |
| Feb 16 | Dinamo … v Ural | 2-1 |
| Feb 14 | Dinamo … v Bate Bo… | 1-0 |
| Feb 07 | Dinamo … v FC Slut… | 5-0 |
| Feb 03 | Dinamo … v Zenit S… | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | Dinamo … v Belshina | 3-2 |
| Jan 26 | Dinamo … v Chengdu… | 1-1 |
| Dec 06 | Dinamo … v Spartak… | 1-1 |
Spartak Moscow
16.0%
| Mar 04 | Spartak… v Krasnod… | 3-1 |
| Mar 02 | Spartak… v PFC Soc… | 2-3 |
| Mar 01 | Spartak… v Akhmat … | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Spartak… v FC Rost… | 5-2 |
| Feb 18 | Spartak… v FC Porto | 3-1 |
| Feb 07 | Spartak… v Dalian … | 1-0 |
| Feb 03 | Spartak… v Krasnod… | 2-2 |
| Feb 03 | Spartak… v Pyunik … | 2-0 |
| Dec 07 | Spartak… v Krasnod… | 3-2 |
| Dec 06 | Spartak… v Dinamo … | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Dec 06, 2025 | Spartak Moscow | 1-1 | Dinamo Moscow |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Dinamo Moscow | 2-2 | Spartak Moscow |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Dinamo Moscow | 1-3 | Spartak Moscow |
| May 11, 2025 | Dinamo Moscow | 2-0 | Spartak Moscow |
| Apr 29, 2025 | Spartak Moscow | 2-1 | Dinamo Moscow |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Dinamo Moscow | 0-0 | Spartak Moscow |
| Apr 06, 2025 | Spartak Moscow | 3-1 | Dinamo Moscow |
| Mar 12, 2025 | Spartak Moscow | 2-1 | Dinamo Moscow |
| Feb 07, 2025 | Dinamo Moscow | 0-1 | Spartak Moscow |
| Oct 06, 2024 | Dinamo Moscow | 1-2 | Spartak Moscow |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
42%
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Dinamo Moscow in strong form (3W in last 5)
Spartak Moscow in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.