Cup · Mar 05, 2026 15:30
Arsenal Tula
PWR 53
Lokomotiv Moscow
PWR 53
Arsenal Tula
PWR 53
1 - 2
FT
Lokomotiv Moscow
PWR 53
33%
27%
40%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
X2 (Away/Draw)
Double Chance · Odds imply 70% away + 19% draw = 88% combined
92%
accuracy
1.19x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Lokomotiv Moscow Win
Score
2-2
Confidence
55%
TierGOLD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (13%)0-1 (12%)1-0 (12%)0-0 (11%)1-2 (7%)2-1 (7%)
CORRECT 1-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
3.47x
DC X2
89%
Away/Draw
1.19x
Over 2.5
37%
Under 2.5
63%
63%
BTTS
No 44%
Over 3.5
31%
Team Comparison
44Attack57
65Defense52
Goals/G
1.31.6
Conc/G
1.01.4
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Arsenal Tula
DDDDW
STABLE
Lokomotiv Mosc…
WWWDW
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy73%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_POSITION_GAPAWAY_POINTS_GAP
Full data available (Tier 1)WR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team drew 4/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (26.9%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Arsenal Tulavs
1.09
Lokomotiv Mosc…Goal Probability
Arsenal Tula
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Lokomotiv M…
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)0-1 (9%)1-2 (9%)1-0 (8%)2-1 (8%)0-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 77% | 24% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 53% | 47% | - |
| 3.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#20
Arsenal Tula-17
Gap#3
Lokomotiv M…
WR 50% 7 pts
WR 50% 43 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal Tula | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7 |
| Lokomotiv Mos… | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 42 | 36 | 43 |
Arsenal Tula
12.0%
| Feb 27 | Arsenal… v KAMAZ | 1-1 |
| Nov 30 | Arsenal… v FK Neft… | 0-0 |
| Nov 25 | Arsenal… v Rubin | 0-0 |
| Nov 22 | Arsenal… v Chernom… | 1-1 |
| Nov 16 | Arsenal… v FC UFA | 1-2 |
| Nov 08 | Arsenal… v Chayka | 1-0 |
| Nov 03 | Arsenal… v Rotor V… | 1-2 |
| Oct 30 | Arsenal… v Fakel V… | 2-3 |
| Oct 24 | Arsenal… v Ural | 1-2 |
| Oct 19 | Arsenal… v Chelyab… | 2-2 |
Lokomotiv Mosc…
18.0%
| Feb 28 | Lokomot… v Nizhny … | 2-1 |
| Feb 08 | Lokomot… v Yelimay… | 2-0 |
| Feb 05 | Lokomot… v Ural | 2-3 |
| Jan 24 | Lokomot… v FC Porto | 1-1 |
| Dec 07 | Lokomot… v PFC Soc… | 2-4 |
| Nov 30 | Lokomot… v FC Rost… | 1-3 |
| Nov 26 | Lokomot… v Spartak… | 2-3 |
| Nov 23 | Lokomot… v Krasnod… | 1-1 |
| Nov 09 | Lokomot… v Orenburg | 1-0 |
| Nov 06 | Lokomot… v Spartak… | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (5)
| Jun 26, 2024 | Lokomotiv Mos… | 2-1 | Arsenal Tula |
| Nov 29, 2021 | Arsenal Tula | 3-1 | Lokomotiv Mos… |
| Jul 24, 2021 | Lokomotiv Mos… | 3-1 | Arsenal Tula |
| Mar 08, 2021 | Arsenal Tula | 0-3 | Lokomotiv Mos… |
| Nov 21, 2020 | Lokomotiv Mos… | 1-0 | Arsenal Tula |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
35%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Lokomotiv Moscow in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.