Cup · Mar 04, 2026 17:45
Spartak Moscow
PWR 62
Krasnodar
PWR 48
Spartak Moscow
PWR 62
3 - 1
FT
Krasnodar
PWR 48
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Spartak Moscow Win
Score
3-2
Confidence
42%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (9%)3-1 (8%)2-0 (8%)1-1 (7%)3-0 (7%)1-0 (6%)
CORRECT 3-1
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.66x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.64x
Over 2.5
68%
68%
Under 2.5
32%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 64%
Over 3.5
76%
76%
Team Comparison
58Attack60
70Defense46
Goals/G
1.61.7
Conc/G
0.91.5
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Spartak Moscow
WLWWW
STABLE
Krasnodar
WWDWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
POINTS_GAP
Full data available (Tier 1)Consider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (25.1%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.62
Spartak Moscowvs
1.16
KrasnodarGoal Probability
Spartak Mos…
0
7%
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
Krasnodar
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
2-2 (6%)2-3 (6%)1-2 (5%)1-3 (5%)3-2 (5%)3-3 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 97% | 4% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 89% | 11% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 76% | 24% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 59% | 41% | - |
| 5.5 | 41% | 59% | - |
| 6.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Spartak Mos…+4
Gap#5
Krasnodar
WR 58% 114 pts
WR 36% 29 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spartak Moscow | 59 | 34 | 12 | 13 | 97 | 51 | 114 |
| Krasnodar | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 38 | 34 | 29 |
Spartak Moscow
16.0%
| Mar 02 | Spartak… v PFC Soc… | 2-3 |
| Mar 01 | Spartak… v Akhmat … | 1-0 |
| Feb 21 | Spartak… v FC Rost… | 5-2 |
| Feb 18 | Spartak… v FC Porto | 3-1 |
| Feb 07 | Spartak… v Dalian … | 1-0 |
| Feb 03 | Spartak… v Krasnod… | 2-2 |
| Feb 03 | Spartak… v Pyunik … | 2-0 |
| Dec 07 | Spartak… v Krasnod… | 3-2 |
| Dec 06 | Spartak… v Dinamo … | 1-1 |
| Nov 29 | Spartak… v Baltika | 1-0 |
Krasnodar
18.0%
| Feb 28 | Krasnod… v FC Rost… | 2-1 |
| Feb 06 | Krasnod… v Zenit S… | 3-0 |
| Feb 03 | Krasnod… v Spartak… | 2-2 |
| Jan 27 | Krasnod… v Yelimay… | 2-1 |
| Dec 07 | Krasnod… v Spartak… | 3-2 |
| Nov 30 | Krasnod… v Krylya … | 5-0 |
| Nov 26 | Krasnod… v Orenburg | 4-0 |
| Nov 23 | Krasnod… v Lokomot… | 1-1 |
| Nov 09 | Krasnod… v Baltika | 1-1 |
| Nov 05 | Krasnod… v Orenburg | 1-3 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 03, 2026 | Spartak Moscow | 2-2 | Krasnodar |
| Dec 07, 2025 | Krasnodar | 3-2 | Spartak Moscow |
| Nov 02, 2025 | Krasnodar | 2-1 | Spartak Moscow |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Spartak Moscow | 1-1 | Krasnodar |
| Jul 12, 2025 | Krasnodar | 0-1 | Spartak Moscow |
| May 10, 2025 | Spartak Moscow | 1-0 | Krasnodar |
| Jan 30, 2025 | Spartak Moscow | 3-2 | Krasnodar |
| Dec 01, 2024 | Krasnodar | 0-3 | Spartak Moscow |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Spartak Moscow | 0-3 | Krasnodar |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Spartak Moscow | 2-0 | Krasnodar |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
86%
Standings
50%
Market
41%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Spartak Moscow in strong form (4W in last 5)
Krasnodar in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.