Cup · Mar 04, 2026 15:30
Krylya Sovetov
PWR 32
Orenburg
PWR 26
Krylya Sovetov
PWR 32
2 - 0
FT
Orenburg
PWR 26
35%
27%
38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Krylya Sovetov Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (30%)0-0 (24%)2-0 (18%)3-0 (7%)1-1 (6%)0-1 (5%)
CORRECT 2-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.58x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.71x
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5
83%
83%
BTTS
No
No 13%
Over 3.5
8%
Team Comparison
51Attack35
19Defense14
Goals/G
1.51.0
Conc/G
2.32.4
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Krylya Sovetov
LLDLL
DOWN
Orenburg
WWLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)WR diff only 5% = 35.1% draw rateH2H: 5/10 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.6%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Krylya Sovetovvs
0.20
OrenburgGoal Probability
Krylya Sove…
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Orenburg
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (20%)1-0 (18%)0-1 (14%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (8%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 80% | 20% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 49% | 52% | - |
| 2.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#14
Krylya Sove…-4
Gap#10
Orenburg
WR 23% 13 pts
WR 28% 16 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krylya Sovetov | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 13 |
| Orenburg | 18 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 18 | 44 | 16 |
Krylya Sovetov
2.0%
| Mar 01 | Krylya … v Dinamo … | 4-0 |
| Feb 22 | Krylya … v Baltika | 0-1 |
| Feb 03 | Krylya … v Torpedo… | 0-0 |
| Dec 07 | Krylya … v Baltika | 2-0 |
| Nov 30 | Krylya … v Krasnod… | 5-0 |
| Nov 27 | Krylya … v KAMAZ | 1-1 |
| Nov 23 | Krylya … v FC Rost… | 2-0 |
| Nov 16 | Krylya … v Dinamo … | 1-1 |
| Nov 09 | Krylya … v Zenit S… | 1-1 |
| Nov 01 | Krylya … v Makhach… | 2-0 |
Orenburg
8.0%
| Feb 28 | Orenburg v Akron | 2-0 |
| Feb 20 | Orenburg v Rubin | 1-0 |
| Dec 05 | Orenburg v Akhmat … | 1-0 |
| Nov 29 | Orenburg v Spartak… | 2-0 |
| Nov 26 | Orenburg v Krasnod… | 4-0 |
| Nov 22 | Orenburg v Baltika | 0-0 |
| Nov 09 | Orenburg v Lokomot… | 1-0 |
| Nov 05 | Orenburg v Krasnod… | 1-3 |
| Nov 02 | Orenburg v PFC Soc… | 3-1 |
| Oct 25 | Orenburg v Spartak… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Oct 18, 2025 | Krylya Sovetov | 1-1 | Orenburg |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Krylya Sovetov | 2-0 | Orenburg |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Orenburg | 2-2 | Krylya Sovetov |
| May 04, 2024 | Orenburg | 2-1 | Krylya Sovetov |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Krylya Sovetov | 1-1 | Orenburg |
| Apr 02, 2023 | Krylya Sovetov | 1-1 | Orenburg |
| Feb 03, 2023 | Krylya Sovetov | 3-3 | Orenburg |
| Jul 16, 2022 | Orenburg | 2-4 | Krylya Sovetov |
| Nov 29, 2020 | Orenburg | 2-1 | Krylya Sovetov |
| Aug 22, 2020 | Krylya Sovetov | 0-1 | Orenburg |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
80%
Standings
50%
Market
44%
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Krylya Sovetov struggling (4L in last 5)
Orenburg struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.