Cup · Mar 04, 2026 15:30
FC Rostov
PWR 42
Makhachkala
PWR 50
FC Rostov
PWR 42
0 - 2
FT
Makhachkala
PWR 50
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
42%
TierSTANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (20%)1-0 (17%)3-0 (16%)0-0 (7%)2-1 (5%)1-1 (4%)
WRONG 0-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.34x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.04x
Over 2.5
46%
Under 2.5
54%
BTTS
No
No 21%
Over 3.5
12%
Team Comparison
42Attack44
51Defense62
Goals/G
1.21.3
Conc/G
1.41.1
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
FC Rostov
LLWLW
DOWN
Makhachkala
WDWLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityH2H: 4/8 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.40
FC Rostovvs
0.26
MakhachkalaGoal Probability
FC Rostov
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Makhachkala
0
77%
1
20%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (16%)0-0 (15%)1-1 (13%)1-0 (13%)0-2 (9%)1-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 2.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#16
FC Rostov-9
Gap#7
Makhachkala
WR 30% 11 pts
WR 42% 18 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Rostov | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 14 | 11 |
| Makhachkala | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 18 |
FC Rostov
8.0%
| Feb 28 | FC Rost… v Krasnod… | 2-1 |
| Feb 21 | FC Rost… v Spartak… | 5-2 |
| Dec 06 | FC Rost… v Rubin | 2-0 |
| Nov 30 | FC Rost… v Lokomot… | 1-3 |
| Nov 26 | FC Rost… v FK Neft… | 1-3 |
| Nov 23 | FC Rost… v Krylya … | 2-0 |
| Nov 08 | FC Rost… v PFC Soc… | 0-1 |
| Nov 01 | FC Rost… v Akron | 0-1 |
| Oct 25 | FC Rost… v Makhach… | 1-1 |
| Oct 22 | FC Rost… v Nizhny … | 4-1 |
Makhachkala
12.0%
| Feb 28 | Makhach… v Rubin | 2-1 |
| Feb 05 | Makhach… v Atyrau | 0-0 |
| Jan 26 | Makhach… v Vardar … | 3-0 |
| Dec 07 | Makhach… v Nizhny … | 0-1 |
| Dec 01 | Makhach… v PFC Soc… | 0-0 |
| Nov 26 | Makhach… v Spartak… | 2-1 |
| Nov 23 | Makhach… v Dinamo … | 3-0 |
| Nov 08 | Makhach… v Spartak… | 0-1 |
| Nov 05 | Makhach… v Spartak… | 1-0 |
| Nov 01 | Makhach… v Krylya … | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Oct 25, 2025 | FC Rostov | 1-1 | Makhachkala |
| Oct 02, 2025 | Makhachkala | 1-1 | FC Rostov |
| Aug 27, 2025 | FC Rostov | 1-3 | Makhachkala |
| Jul 09, 2025 | FC Rostov | 2-1 | Makhachkala |
| May 24, 2025 | Makhachkala | 1-1 | FC Rostov |
| Sep 22, 2024 | FC Rostov | 0-0 | Makhachkala |
| Jul 03, 2024 | Makhachkala | 3-1 | FC Rostov |
| Jul 06, 2023 | FC Rostov | 2-1 | Makhachkala |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
54%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
FC Rostov struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.