CONMEBOL Sudamericana · Mar 05, 2026 22:00

Nacional Asunción
PWR 0
VS

Deportivo Recoleta
PWR 0
43% H 25% D 32% A
Final Verdict
Nacional Asunción Win
Prediction
N/A
Score
35%
Confidence
SKIP
Stability SKIP
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (13%) 2-0 (11%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 0-0 (8%) 3-0 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection AH_025
Limited data available (Tier 3)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (28.8%) - VETO 1X2 | Tier 3 data without strong odds (need 85%+)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense0
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense0
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Nacional Asunc… Form DDDWL
STABLE
Deportivo Reco… Form LDWLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.547%
BTTS47%
Under 2.553%
Nacional As… Goals
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4
7%
Deportivo R… Goals
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Over/Under Markets
LineOver %Under %Pick
0.5 92% 8% OVER
1.5 72% 28% OVER
2.5 46% 54% -
3.5 25% 75% UNDER
4.5 11% 89% UNDER
5.5 4% 96% UNDER
6.5 2% 99% UNDER
Goal Markets
xG Total2.5
Over 3.525%
BTTS Yes44%
Home Clean Sheet47%
Away Clean Sheet17%
Top Correct Scores:
1-0 (14%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 0-0 (8%) 3-0 (7%)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.73
Nacional Asunc…
vs
0.84
Deportivo Reco…
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum79%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Nacional Asunc… 10.0%
Mar 01 Naciona… v Club Gu… 1-1
Feb 26 Naciona… v Deporti… 2-2
Feb 19 Naciona… v Sportiv… 1-1
Feb 15 Naciona… v Cerro P… 0-2
Feb 08 Naciona… v Olimpia 1-2
Jan 31 Naciona… v 2 de Ma… 5-1
Jan 27 Naciona… v Sportiv… 1-2
Jan 24 Naciona… v Club Sp… 1-0
Nov 27 Naciona… v Deporti… 0-0
Nov 20 Naciona… v Sportiv… 2-0
Deportivo Reco… 10.0%
Mar 01 Deporti… v Cerro P… 2-0
Feb 26 Deporti… v Naciona… 2-2
Feb 20 Deporti… v 2 de Ma… 0-1
Feb 13 Deporti… v Sportiv… 1-2
Feb 06 Deporti… v Club Sp… 0-3
Feb 02 Deporti… v Liberta… 2-1
Jan 29 Deporti… v Rubio Ñu 1-1
Jan 23 Deporti… v Sportiv… 1-1
Head-to-Head (1)
Feb 26, 2026 Deportivo Rec… 2-2 Nacional Asun…
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.