CONMEBOL Sudamericana · Mar 04, 2026 02:00
Alianza Atlético
PWR 0
Alianza Atlético
PWR 0
1 - 0
FT
Deportivo Garcilaso
PWR 0
PWR 0
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Alianza Atlético to win (55% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
55%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (31%)
1-0 (28%)
2-0 (13%)
0-1 (8%)
1-1 (7%)
3-0 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
WRONG - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Limited data available (Tier 3)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 3/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.1 | Tier 3 data without strong odds (need 85%+)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense0
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense0
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Alianza Atléti… Form
DDDLW
STABLE
Deportivo Garc… Form
LLWDD
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.511%
BTTS14%
Under 2.589%
Alianza Atl… Goals
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Deportivo G… Goals
0
77%
1
20%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Over/Under Markets
| Line | Over % | Under % | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 67% | 33% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 31% | 69% | UNDER |
| 2.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
Goal Markets
xG Total1.1
Over 3.53%
BTTS Yes16%
Home Clean Sheet71%
Away Clean Sheet46%
Top Correct Scores:
0-0 (33%)
1-0 (25%)
0-1 (11%)
2-0 (10%)
1-1 (9%)
2-1 (3%)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.91
Alianza Atléti…vs
0.26
Deportivo Garc…Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum69%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Alianza Atléti…
10.0%
| Feb 27 | Alianza… v ADT | 0-0 |
| Feb 22 | Alianza… v Ciencia… | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Alianza… v Alianza… | 0-0 |
| Feb 08 | Alianza… v Cultura… | 1-0 |
| Feb 01 | Alianza… v Cusco | 1-0 |
| Nov 16 | Alianza… v Sport B… | 0-1 |
| Nov 09 | Alianza… v Alianza… | 2-1 |
| Nov 02 | Alianza… v Atletic… | 1-1 |
| Oct 25 | Alianza… v Ciencia… | 0-1 |
| Oct 18 | Alianza… v Comerci… | 1-0 |
Deportivo Garc…
8.0%
| Feb 28 | Deporti… v Ciencia… | 2-3 |
| Feb 23 | Deporti… v UCV Moq… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | Deporti… v ADT | 1-0 |
| Feb 09 | Deporti… v FC Caja… | 1-1 |
| Feb 01 | Deporti… v Sportin… | 1-1 |
| Nov 08 | Deporti… v Univers… | 0-0 |
| Nov 01 | Deporti… v ADT | 1-0 |
| Oct 25 | Deporti… v Ayacuch… | 4-2 |
| Oct 19 | Deporti… v Sportin… | 0-1 |
| Oct 13 | Deporti… v Juan Pa… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Oct 05, 2025 | Deportivo Gar… | 2-4 | Alianza Atlét… |
| Aug 06, 2025 | Deportivo Gar… | 2-0 | Alianza Atlét… |
| May 16, 2025 | Alianza Atlét… | 1-0 | Deportivo Gar… |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Deportivo Gar… | 0-1 | Alianza Atlét… |
| Feb 29, 2024 | Alianza Atlét… | 3-0 | Deportivo Gar… |
| Oct 01, 2023 | Alianza Atlét… | 2-0 | Deportivo Gar… |
| May 20, 2023 | Deportivo Gar… | 3-2 | Alianza Atlét… |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.