Cup · Sep 16, 2025 15:30
Sūduva Marijampolė
PWR 23
Panevėžys
PWR 81
Sūduva Marijampolė
PWR 23
0 - 2
FT
Panevėžys
PWR 81
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Sūduva Marijampolė Win
Score
1-3
Confidence
35%
TierSKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)3-0 (8%)1-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)1-1 (8%)
WRONG 0-2
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
62%
62%
Under 2.5
38%
BTTS
Yes 56%
Over 3.5
35%
Team Comparison
18Attack58
48Defense88
Goals/G
0.51.7
Conc/G
1.50.3
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Sūduva Marijam…
DWWLL
STABLE
Panevėžys
DDLDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 3/9 draws (33%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.7%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.45
Sūduva Marijam…vs
0.96
PanevėžysGoal Probability
Sūduva Mari…
0
9%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
Panevėžys
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (11%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (9%)2-0 (8%)1-2 (7%)0-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 80% | 20% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 58% | 43% | - |
| 3.5 | 35% | 65% | - |
| 4.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
Sūduva Mari…-7
Gap#1
Panevėžys
WR 0% 1 pts
WR 100% 9 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sūduva Marija… | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Panevėžys | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
Sūduva Marijam…
10.0%
| Sep 12 | Sūduva … v Panevėž… | 1-1 |
| Aug 30 | Sūduva … v Hegelma… | 2-1 |
| Aug 25 | Sūduva … v Šiauliai | 2-1 |
| Aug 17 | Sūduva … v Selangor | 2-1 |
| Aug 07 | Sūduva … v FK Zalg… | 1-0 |
| Aug 03 | Sūduva … v Dainava | 2-2 |
| Jul 27 | Sūduva … v Džiugas… | 2-3 |
| Jul 20 | Sūduva … v FK Trak… | 0-0 |
| Jul 07 | Sūduva … v Panevėž… | 1-2 |
| Jun 30 | Sūduva … v Hegelma… | 0-2 |
Panevėžys
10.0%
| Sep 12 | Panevėž… v Sūduva … | 1-1 |
| Sep 12 | Panevėž… v Babrung… | 1-1 |
| Aug 31 | Panevėž… v FK Zalg… | 2-1 |
| Aug 29 | Panevėž… v Benfica | 0-0 |
| Aug 24 | Panevėž… v Kauno Ž… | 1-0 |
| Aug 22 | Panevėž… v TransIN… | 0-2 |
| Aug 20 | Panevėž… v Selangor | 1-0 |
| Aug 17 | Panevėž… v Hegelma… | 3-1 |
| Aug 16 | Panevėž… v Žalgiri… | 1-2 |
| Aug 08 | Panevėž… v Džiugas… | 0-1 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Sep 12, 2025 | Sūduva Marija… | 1-1 | Panevėžys |
| Jul 07, 2025 | Panevėžys | 1-2 | Sūduva Marija… |
| May 04, 2025 | Sūduva Marija… | 0-0 | Panevėžys |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Panevėžys | 2-0 | Sūduva Marija… |
| Sep 01, 2024 | Panevėžys | 0-0 | Sūduva Marija… |
| Jun 26, 2024 | Sūduva Marija… | 1-3 | Panevėžys |
| May 02, 2024 | Panevėžys | 1-0 | Sūduva Marija… |
| Mar 13, 2024 | Sūduva Marija… | 1-0 | Panevėžys |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Panevėžys | 2-1 | Sūduva Marija… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
87%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.